Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 867.515397 983.561775 1113.847252 1271.823801 1459.352290 1676.290028 1948.331958
2025-03-30 670.301234 814.216936 990.916285 1227.082066 1539.492010 1945.956105 2527.337531
2025-04-06 568.088044 718.861994 914.242645 1191.713886 1585.354581 2139.569955 3009.202251
2025-04-13 492.624161 643.110561 846.400387 1149.256005 1603.906215 2287.475349 3449.226721
2025-04-20 459.139551 617.346192 839.730856 1186.849770 1738.152172 2624.636259 4263.984377
2025-04-27 425.268834 585.958827 819.466761 1198.705535 1831.239586 2911.061974 5069.322968
2025-05-04 398.616681 561.479122 805.399674 1216.331539 1934.010370 3231.784450 6033.654525
2025-05-11 374.661787 538.178696 789.789060 1228.012233 2026.593806 3551.308867 7099.750803
2025-05-18 360.614760 528.416811 793.860885 1272.407865 2184.478883 4030.976296 8702.767495
2025-05-25 343.772850 512.446727 785.741903 1293.599477 2301.076749 4452.727363 10342.413813
2025-06-01 325.151324 491.850099 767.574018 1293.639510 2374.809400 4797.760639 11932.886386
2025-06-08 307.404259 471.178149 747.161390 1286.556988 2431.996289 5118.098561 13608.648478
2025-06-15 294.972912 459.139637 741.904329 1310.569452 2566.637997 5680.666121 16446.950627
2025-06-22 274.101651 431.162209 705.778912 1269.098052 2548.206592 5847.995552 18035.785433
2025-06-29 255.929052 406.512753 673.502137 1231.417428 2531.788296 6016.973393 19755.277569
2025-07-06 238.640058 382.248971 639.966818 1187.284076 2492.646033 6112.538978 21257.641820
2025-07-13 233.192289 378.723621 645.159802 1226.450698 2667.723546 6905.522837 26611.820174
2025-07-20 224.968776 369.526265 638.562460 1238.814644 2776.560850 7531.486584 31833.226215
2025-07-27 218.014695 362.158340 634.863846 1257.193439 2905.622238 8277.182224 38685.450613
2025-08-03 210.900253 353.987642 628.831224 1269.375100 3020.352336 9021.382500 46655.107342
2025-08-10 207.571201 352.745640 636.728583 1315.686391 3244.996580 10290.207777 60843.678962
2025-08-17 202.119641 347.026403 634.818934 1337.798991 3402.383294 11369.865656 76045.798368
2025-08-24 195.071078 337.736353 624.612313 1337.840768 3490.918095 12199.315744 91077.090933